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FC United vs Hyde Utd Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

FC United

PPG 2.06 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Hyde Utd

PPG 0.74 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 79.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7% — a clear edge.

+24.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-12.1%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.5%1-16.0%1-22.4%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.6%2-18.5%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.0%3-18.0%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-014.1%4+-111.3%4+-24.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 79.1% 63.7% 1.57 +24.2%

Draw 13.1% 26.7% 3.75 -50.9%

Away win 7.9% 21.7% 4.60 -63.7%

Over 2.5 70.4% — — —

Over 3.5 49.2% — — —

BTTS 52.0% 58.8% 1.70 -11.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -12.6%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.0%

H 79% / xG 2.8-0.8 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.6%

#2 3–0 10.0%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 1–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC United2.8

Hyde Utd0.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.4% · O3.5 PROB 49.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FC UNITED · PPG 2.06

HYDE UTD · PPG 0.74

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.06), Away POOR (0.74) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

FC United (H) 79.1%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV +24.2%

Draw 13.1%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -50.9%

Hyde Utd (A) 7.9%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -63.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC United face Hyde Utd in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC United a 79% chance, the draw 13% and Hyde Utd 8%, so FC United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for FC United and 0.8 for Hyde Utd (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC United are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 0.74 for Hyde Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +24.2%. This match finished 0-1.

FC United vs Hyde Utd Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

Match Preview & Prediction

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