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Whitby Town vs Cleethorpes Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Whitby Town logo
Whitby Town
PPG 1.00 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Cleethorpes logo
Cleethorpes
PPG 1.26 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.26)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-110.1%0-26.2%0-32.5%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.5%1-112.8%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.7%2-18.2%2-25.0%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.8%3-13.5%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 37.7% 38.5% 2.60 -2.0%
Draw 27.0% 32.3% 3.10 -16.3%
Away win 35.3% 40.8% 2.45 -13.5%
Over 2.5 45.6% 54.1% 1.85 -15.6%
Over 3.5 24.2%
BTTS 50.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -12.6%
Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 17%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob50.9%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%
#2 1–0 10.5%
#3 0–1 10.1%
#4 0–0 8.2%
#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Whitby Town1.3
Cleethorpes1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WHITBY TOWN · PPG 1.00

CLEETHORPES · PPG 1.26

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.26)

Win probability 1X2

Whitby Town (H) 37.7%
ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -2.0%
Draw 27.0%
ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -16.3%
Cleethorpes (A) 35.3%
ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -13.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Whitby Town face Cleethorpes in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Whitby Town a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Cleethorpes 35%, so Whitby Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Whitby Town and 1.2 for Cleethorpes (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Whitby Town are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.26 for Cleethorpes. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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