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Hebburn Town vs Rushall Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Hebburn Town

PPG 2.32 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Rushall

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 82.1% vs bookmaker-implied 84.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-11.8%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.5%1-15.4%1-22.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.0%2-18.0%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.9%3-17.9%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-016.5%4+-112.0%4+-24.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 82.1% 84.7% 1.18 -3.1%

Draw 11.6% 18.2% 5.50 -36.2%

Away win 6.2% 9.3% 10.75 -33.4%

Over 2.5 71.0% 66.7% 1.50 +6.5%

Over 3.5 50.0% — — —

BTTS 48.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -12.6%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.8%

H 82% / xG 2.9-0.7 / O2.5 71% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 11.0%

#2 3–0 10.9%

#3 4–0 8.0%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 3–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hebburn Town2.9

Rushall0.7

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.0% · O3.5 PROB 50.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HEBBURN TOWN · PPG 2.32

RUSHALL · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.32), Away AVERAGE (1.21) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hebburn Town (H) 82.1%

ODDS 1.18 · IMPLIED 84.7% EV -3.1%

Draw 11.6%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -36.2%

Rushall (A) 6.2%

ODDS 10.75 · IMPLIED 9.3% EV -33.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hebburn Town face Rushall in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hebburn Town a 82% chance, the draw 12% and Rushall 6%, so Hebburn Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Hebburn Town and 0.7 for Rushall (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hebburn Town are averaging 2.32 points per game versus 1.21 for Rushall. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Hebburn Town vs Rushall Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

Match Preview & Prediction

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