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Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 17:00

Al Ittihad

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Ceramica Cleopatra

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

LAST 5

LW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.7%0-114.8%0-27.0%0-32.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.3%1-113.5%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.5%2-16.1%2-22.9%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.0%3-11.9%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% 30.3% 3.30 +18.1%

Draw 34.5% 36.5% 2.74 -5.5%

Away win 29.7% 42.4% 2.36 -17.9%

Over 2.5 34.2% 35.1% 2.85 -2.5%

Over 3.5 18.0% 16.7% 6.00 +4.8%

BTTS 43.7% 45.5% 2.20 -3.9%

Home O1.5 30.9% 25.3% 3.95 +22.1%

Away O1.5 25.7% 33.9% 2.95 -14.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.7%

D 34% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.7%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.3%

#4 0–1 14.8%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Ittihad0.9

Ceramica Cleopatra0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ITTIHAD · PPG 1.52

CERAMICA CLEOPATRA · PPG 1.47

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.03, combined xG 1.85 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Ittihad (H) 35.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +18.1%

Draw 34.5%

ODDS 2.74 · IMPLIED 36.5% EV -5.5%

Ceramica Cleopatra (A) 29.7%

ODDS 2.36 · IMPLIED 42.4% EV -17.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Ittihad face Ceramica Cleopatra in Egypt - Premier League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Ittihad a 36% chance, the draw 35% and Ceramica Cleopatra 30%, so Al Ittihad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Ittihad and 0.9 for Ceramica Cleopatra (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Ittihad are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.47 for Ceramica Cleopatra. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +22.9%. This match finished 1-3.

Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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