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AL Masry vs Pyramids FC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 17:00

AL Masry

PPG 1.85 · HOME

LAST 5

WWL ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Pyramids FC

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.3% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-111.9%0-27.3%0-33.0%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.7%1-113.1%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.9%2-17.3%2-24.5%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.2%3-12.7%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% 24.4% 4.10 +32.0%

Draw 28.5% 33.3% 3.00 -8.7%

Away win 39.3% 51.8% 1.93 -24.1%

Over 2.5 48.8% 45.5% 2.20 +7.4%

Over 3.5 27.4% 25.3% 3.95 +4.9%

BTTS 51.3% 54.1% 1.85 -5.1%

Home O1.5 30.9% 26.7% 3.75 +15.9%

Away O1.5 36.8% 46.5% 2.15 -20.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.3%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–1✓ 11.9%

#3 0–0 9.6%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AL Masry1.1

Pyramids FC1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL MASRY · PPG 1.85

PYRAMIDS FC · PPG 1.93

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.13, combined xG 2.34 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

AL Masry (H) 32.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +32.0%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.7%

Pyramids FC (A) 39.3%

ODDS 1.93 · IMPLIED 51.8% EV -24.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

AL Masry face Pyramids FC in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AL Masry a 32% chance, the draw 28% and Pyramids FC 39%, so Pyramids FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for AL Masry and 1.2 for Pyramids FC (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AL Masry are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.93 for Pyramids FC. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +23.5%. This match finished 0-1.

AL Masry vs Pyramids FC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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