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Zamalek SC vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 17:00

Zamalek SC

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

DWW ··

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Petrojet

PPG 1.34 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-19.5%0-24.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.1%1-112.7%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.1%2-18.5%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.5%3-13.8%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 58.8% 1.70 -19.4%

Draw 28.5% 29.9% 3.35 -2.7%

Away win 24.1% 20.4% 4.90 +10.8%

Over 2.5 42.9% 48.8% 2.05 -12.1%

Over 3.5 22.5% 27.4% 3.65 -10.7%

BTTS 48.0% 52.6% 1.90 -8.8%

Home O1.5 39.1% 52.4% 1.91 -25.3%

Away O1.5 24.1% 25.0% 4.00 -2.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.0%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.1%

#2 1–1 12.7%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 2–0 10.1%

#5 2–1✓ 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zamalek SC1.3

Petrojet0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.9% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ZAMALEK SC · PPG 1.80

PETROJET · PPG 1.34

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.49, combined xG 2.18 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zamalek SC (H) 47.4%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -19.4%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -2.7%

Petrojet (A) 24.1%

ODDS 4.90 · IMPLIED 20.4% EV +10.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zamalek SC face Petrojet in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zamalek SC a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Petrojet 24%, so Zamalek SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Zamalek SC and 0.8 for Petrojet (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zamalek SC are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.34 for Petrojet. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +7.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Zamalek SC vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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