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Ghazl El Mehalla vs Enppi Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 3 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 14:00

Ghazl El Mehalla

PPG 1.20 · HOME

LAST 5

LLD ··

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Enppi

PPG 1.05 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLD ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.5% vs bookmaker-implied 45.5% — a clear edge.

+11.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-112.2%0-26.7%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.2%1-113.4%1-27.4%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.7%2-17.4%2-24.1%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.5%3-12.7%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 36.8% 2.72 -1.8%

Draw 28.0% 37.7% 2.65 -15.5%

Away win 35.9% 34.5% 2.90 +4.1%

Over 2.5 45.6% 33.9% 2.95 +34.5%

Over 3.5 25.9% 16.7% 6.00 +33.2%

BTTS 50.5% 45.5% 2.20 +11.1%

Home O1.5 30.9% 29.0% 3.45 +6.6%

Away O1.5 33.2% 28.2% 3.55 +17.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob50.5%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0✓ 11.0%

#3 1–0 12.2%

#4 0–1 12.2%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ghazl El Mehalla1.1

Enppi1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GHAZL EL MEHALLA · PPG 1.20

ENPPI · PPG 1.05

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.00, combined xG 2.20 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ghazl El Mehalla (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.72 · IMPLIED 36.8% EV -1.8%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -15.5%

Enppi (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +4.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ghazl El Mehalla face Enppi in Egypt - Premier League on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ghazl El Mehalla a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Enppi 36%, so Ghazl El Mehalla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.1 for Enppi (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ghazl El Mehalla are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.05 for Enppi. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +34.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Enppi Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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