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National Bank of Egypt vs Zamalek SC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 17:00

National Bank of Egypt logo
National Bank of Egypt
PPG 1.39 · HOME
LAST 5
LLW ··
0 – 3
FULL TIME
Zamalek SC logo
Zamalek SC
PPG 1.88 · AWAY
LAST 5
DWW ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-115.9%0-28.8%0-33.3%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.9%1-113.2%1-27.4%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.0%2-15.5%2-23.1%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.4%3-11.5%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.4% 31.7% 3.15 -8.2%
Draw 35.5% 33.8% 2.96 +5.1%
Away win 37.1% 43.5% 2.30 -14.7%
Over 2.5 37.1% 45.5% 2.20 -18.4%
Over 3.5 18.0% 25.3% 3.95 -17.3%
BTTS 43.7% 54.6% 1.83 -20.0%
Home O1.5 30.9% 33.3% 3.00 -7.3%
Away O1.5 33.0% 40.8% 2.45 -19.1%

League track record

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 49%
ROI -0.5%
Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob43.7%

D 36% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.3%
#2 1–1 13.2%
#3 0–1 15.9%
#4 1–0 11.9%
#5 0–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

National Bank of Egypt0.8
Zamalek SC1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.1% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NATIONAL BANK OF EGYPT · PPG 1.39

ZAMALEK SC · PPG 1.88

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned
80%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.28, combined xG 1.95 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

National Bank of Egypt (H) 27.4%
ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -8.2%
Draw 35.5%
ODDS 2.96 · IMPLIED 33.8% EV +5.1%
Zamalek SC (A) 37.1%
ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -14.7%

Season Statistics average per match · 2 matches · 2026

National Bank of Egypt ▾ lower is better Zamalek SC

Attack

13.0
Shots
12.0
2.5
Shots on target
4.0
7.0
Shots off target
5.7
3.5
Blocked shots
2.3
8.5
Shots inside box
8.3
4.5
Shots outside box
3.7
19.2%
Shooting accuracy
33.3%
20.0%
Goals per shot on target
41.7%
0.50
Goals
1.67
0.85
xG for
0.88

Defence

10.0
Shots faced
17.3
5.0
Shots on target faced
3.3
1.50
Goals conceded
0.33
0.61
xG against
1.66
3.0
Goalkeeper saves
3.0

Control

56.0%
Possession
52.0%
380
Passes
380
317
Accurate passes
312
83.5%
Pass accuracy
81.9%
5.5
Corners
3.3
1.5
Corners faced
5.3
4.5
Offsides
2.7

Discipline

14.0
Fouls
12.7
4.0
Yellow cards
1.7
0.00
Red cards
0.00

Match Preview & Prediction

National Bank of Egypt face Zamalek SC in Egypt - Premier League on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives National Bank of Egypt a 27% chance, the draw 36% and Zamalek SC 37%, so Zamalek SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for National Bank of Egypt and 1.1 for Zamalek SC (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, National Bank of Egypt are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.88 for Zamalek SC. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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