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El Gouna FC vs Future FC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:00

El Gouna FC

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

DD ···

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Future FC

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

DW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.5%0-113.8%0-24.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.1%1-112.8%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.4%2-15.9%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.6%3-11.8%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.3% 33.3% 3.00 +17.9%

Draw 33.4% 40.0% 2.50 -16.5%

Away win 27.2% 37.0% 2.70 -15.9%

Over 2.5 34.5% 30.8% 3.25 +12.1%

Over 3.5 18.2% 15.4% 6.50 +11.0%

BTTS 43.6% 40.0% 2.50 +9.0%

Home O1.5 30.6% 25.0% 4.00 +22.4%

Away O1.5 17.9% 26.7% 3.75 -19.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.6%

H 39% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.5%

#2 1–0 18.1%

#3 0–1 13.8%

#4 1–1✓ 12.8%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

El Gouna FC0.9

Future FC0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

EL GOUNA FC · PPG 1.30

FUTURE FC · PPG 1.29

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.22, combined xG 1.64 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

El Gouna FC (H) 39.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +17.9%

Draw 33.4%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -16.5%

Future FC (A) 27.2%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -15.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

El Gouna FC face Future FC in Egypt - Premier League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives El Gouna FC a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Future FC 27%, so El Gouna FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for El Gouna FC and 0.7 for Future FC (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, El Gouna FC are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.29 for Future FC. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +22.4%. This match finished 1-1.

El Gouna FC vs Future FC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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