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Petrojet vs El Geish Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 17:00

Petrojet

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

DLL ··

2 – 3

FULL TIME

El Geish

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-111.9%0-24.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.9%1-113.2%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.9%2-17.4%2-23.1%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.3%3-12.7%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% 30.8% 3.25 +27.4%

Draw 33.6% 37.7% 2.65 -11.0%

Away win 27.2% 40.7% 2.46 -19.9%

Over 2.5 37.3% 38.2% 2.62 -2.3%

Over 3.5 18.0% 20.0% 5.00 -6.0%

BTTS 43.7% 50.0% 2.00 -12.6%

Home O1.5 31.0% 28.2% 3.55 +10.1%

Away O1.5 23.5% 35.1% 2.85 -19.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.7%

H 39% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 15.9%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrojet1.1

El Geish0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PETROJET · PPG 1.42

EL GEISH · PPG 1.02

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.28, combined xG 1.95 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Petrojet (H) 39.2%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +27.4%

Draw 33.6%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -11.0%

El Geish (A) 27.2%

ODDS 2.46 · IMPLIED 40.7% EV -19.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrojet face El Geish in Egypt - Premier League on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrojet a 39% chance, the draw 34% and El Geish 27%, so Petrojet are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Petrojet and 0.8 for El Geish (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrojet are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.02 for El Geish. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +24.2%. This match finished 2-3.

Petrojet vs El Geish Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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