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Enppi vs Wadi Degla Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 14:00

Enppi

PPG 1.65 · HOME

LAST 5

LLD ··

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Wadi Degla

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWD ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-113.9%0-27.3%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.9%1-113.5%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.3%2-16.6%2-23.4%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.0%3-12.1%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% 41.0% 2.44 -22.7%

Draw 32.6% 36.0% 2.78 -9.4%

Away win 35.7% 31.7% 3.15 +12.4%

Over 2.5 37.8% 39.2% 2.55 -3.6%

Over 3.5 19.5% 20.0% 5.00 -1.5%

BTTS 47.2% 50.0% 2.00 -5.6%

Home O1.5 30.9% 35.1% 2.85 -11.9%

Away O1.5 32.6% 29.0% 3.45 +12.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.2%

D 33% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 13.3%

#3 0–1 13.9%

#4 1–0 12.9%

#5 0–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Enppi1.0

Wadi Degla1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 19.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ENPPI · PPG 1.65

WADI DEGLA · PPG 1.58

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.08, combined xG 2.02 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Enppi (H) 31.7%

ODDS 2.44 · IMPLIED 41.0% EV -22.7%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 2.78 · IMPLIED 36.0% EV -9.4%

Wadi Degla (A) 35.7%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +12.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Enppi face Wadi Degla in Egypt - Premier League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Enppi a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Wadi Degla 36%, so Wadi Degla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Enppi and 1.0 for Wadi Degla (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Enppi are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.58 for Wadi Degla. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +13.8%. This match finished 1-3.

Enppi vs Wadi Degla Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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