Leagues / CZECH REPUBLIC / Czech Liga
Czech Liga
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 17 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
52.9%
1X2
9/17
52.9%
O/U 2.5
9/17
35.3%
BTTS
6/17
23.5%
Exact score
4/17
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
12
Settled
58.3%
Hit rate
7/12
1.67
Avg odds
-4.9%
ROI
-0.6u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · -8.8% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=4 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · +26.3% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.68 · -100.0% ROI
BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.80 · +80.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+80.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+8.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
8
Bets
50%
Hit
-20.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 1 PICK · 1 HIT · 0 MISS
24 MAY FC Praha W vs Plzen W Over 2.5 +21% 3–0 HITApril 2026 // 9 PICKS · 4 HIT · 5 MISS
25 APR Teplice vs Hradec Kralove — NO PICK 0–1 —25 APR Slovacko vs Dukla Praha Home +2% 1–2 MISS25 APR Slavia Prague vs Sigma Olomouc Home +9% 2–1 HIT25 APR Pardubice vs Zlin BTTS +1% 3–1 HIT25 APR Bohemians vs Sparta Prague Away -7% 2–0 MISS25 APR Karvina vs Mlada Boleslav Over 2.5 +17% 0–3 HIT25 APR Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec — NO PICK 1–2 —19 APR Sigma Olomouc vs Slovacko Home -4% 2–1 HIT19 APR Hradec Kralove vs Slavia Prague Away -7% 2–1 MISS19 APR Viktoria Plzen vs Pardubice Over 2.5 +7% 0–1 MISS18 APR Zlin vs Teplice — NO PICK 3–2 —18 APR Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav Home +25% 0–0 MISS18 APR Dukla Praha vs Karvina — NO PICK 1–2 —18 APR Banik Ostrava vs Bohemians — NO PICK 0–2 —