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Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Matchday 4 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 18:00

Bohemians 1905

PPG 1.21 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWD ·

UPCOMING

FK Jablonec

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-111.2%0-26.2%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.1%1-113.3%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.2%2-17.9%2-24.3%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.8%3-13.1%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.3% 39.2% 2.55 +2.8%

Draw 28.8% 30.3% 3.30 -3.0%

Away win 30.9% 39.2% 2.55 -21.2%

Over 2.5 44.8% 54.1% 1.85 -17.1%

Over 3.5 25.8% 32.3% 3.10 -12.0%

BTTS 50.3% 60.6% 1.65 -17.0%

Home O1.5 33.0% 42.6% 2.35 -22.4%

Away O1.5 33.2% 42.6% 2.35 -22.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob50.3%

D 29% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 45% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 1–0 12.1%

#3 0–0 10.2%

#4 0–1 11.2%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bohemians 19051.2

FK Jablonec1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOHEMIANS 1905 · PPG 1.21

FK JABLONEC · PPG 1.45

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.08, combined xG 2.28 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bohemians 1905 (H) 40.3%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +2.8%

Draw 28.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -3.0%

FK Jablonec (A) 30.9%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -21.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bohemians 1905 face FK Jablonec in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bohemians 1905 a 40% chance, the draw 29% and FK Jablonec 31%, so Bohemians 1905 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bohemians 1905 and 1.1 for FK Jablonec (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bohemians 1905 are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.45 for FK Jablonec.

Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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