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Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Matchday 4 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 16:00

Zbrojovka Brno

PPG 1.69 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLWW

UPCOMING

Hradec Králové

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-17.2%0-24.0%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.7%1-111.7%1-26.4%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.5%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.7%3-15.1%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.0%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 44.6% 2.24 +9.3%

Draw 24.4% 30.3% 3.30 -11.7%

Away win 26.8% 33.9% 2.95 -12.6%

Over 2.5 53.8% 52.6% 1.90 +2.2%

Over 3.5 31.6% 30.8% 3.25 +2.7%

BTTS 54.6% 59.9% 1.67 -8.8%

Home O1.5 48.1% 46.5% 2.15 +3.4%

Away O1.5 33.1% 37.7% 2.65 -12.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 10.7%

#4 2–0 8.7%

#5 0–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zbrojovka Brno1.6

Hradec Králové1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ZBROJOVKA BRNO · PPG 1.69

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ · PPG 1.08

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Zbrojovka Brno (H) 48.8%

ODDS 2.24 · IMPLIED 44.6% EV +9.3%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -11.7%

Hradec Králové (A) 26.8%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -12.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zbrojovka Brno face Hradec Králové in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zbrojovka Brno a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Hradec Králové 27%, so Zbrojovka Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Zbrojovka Brno and 1.1 for Hradec Králové (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zbrojovka Brno are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.08 for Hradec Králové. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +12.0%.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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