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Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Slovan Liberec

PPG 1.23 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDWW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Hradec Králové

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWL ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-110.8%0-25.2%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.7%1-113.2%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.4%2-18.1%2-23.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.4%3-13.3%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% 57.1% 1.75 -24.8%

Draw 27.5% 29.4% 3.40 -3.9%

Away win 29.6% 22.7% 4.40 +18.1%

Over 2.5 43.7% 51.3% 1.95 -14.8%

Over 3.5 23.3% 29.4% 3.40 -12.5%

BTTS 49.1% 54.1% 1.85 -9.2%

Home O1.5 33.5% 54.6% 1.83 -38.7%

Away O1.5 26.2% 28.6% 3.50 -5.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.1%

H 43% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 1–0 13.7%

#3 0–0 11.2%

#4 0–1 10.8%

#5 2–0✓ 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan Liberec1.2

Hradec Králové1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.7% · O3.5 PROB 23.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN LIBEREC · PPG 1.23

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ · PPG 1.27

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Slovan Liberec (H) 43.0%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -24.8%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -3.9%

Hradec Králové (A) 29.6%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +18.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan Liberec face Hradec Králové in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan Liberec a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Hradec Králové 30%, so Slovan Liberec are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Slovan Liberec and 1.0 for Hradec Králové (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan Liberec are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.27 for Hradec Králové. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +17.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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