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Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 18:00

Slavia Praha

PPG 2.46 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDDW

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Bohemians 1905

PPG 1.41 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWDD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-13.9%0-21.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.5%1-18.6%1-23.2%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.7%2-19.5%2-23.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.3%3-17.0%3-22.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-16.4%4+-22.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.8% 82.0% 1.22 -22.2%

Draw 21.0% 18.9% 5.30 +6.8%

Away win 15.2% 8.3% 12.00 +49.4%

Over 2.5 59.3% 66.7% 1.50 -11.1%

Over 3.5 36.1% 45.5% 2.20 -20.6%

BTTS 53.0% 52.4% 1.91 +1.2%

Home O1.5 65.1% 76.9% 1.30 -15.4%

Away O1.5 17.9% 19.0% 5.25 -3.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.0%

H 64% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.7%

#2 1–1 8.6%

#3 1–0 11.5%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 3–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia Praha2.2

Bohemians 19050.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 36.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA PRAHA · PPG 2.46

BOHEMIANS 1905 · PPG 1.41

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.45 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Slavia Praha (H) 63.8%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -22.2%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 5.30 · IMPLIED 18.9% EV +6.8%

Bohemians 1905 (A) 15.2%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV +49.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia Praha face Bohemians 1905 in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia Praha a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Bohemians 1905 15%, so Slavia Praha are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Slavia Praha and 0.8 for Bohemians 1905 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia Praha are averaging 2.46 points per game versus 1.41 for Bohemians 1905. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +40.3%. This match finished 2-2.

Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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