Primera B
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 39 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
41.0%
1X2
16/39
56.4%
O/U 2.5
22/39
64.1%
BTTS
25/39
41.0%
Exact score
16/39
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
23
Settled
60.9%
Hit rate
14/23
1.85
Avg odds
+13.3%
ROI
+3.1u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=11 63.6% HIT · AVG 1.87 · +20.3% ROI
BTTS · N=7 57.1% HIT · AVG 1.76 · -1.1% ROI
HOME WIN · N=4 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.92 · +48.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.00 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+45.5%
ROI
✓ Solid
10
Bets
40%
Hit
-26.3%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+24.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
6
Bets
83%
Hit
+52.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 4 PICKS · 1 HIT · 3 MISS
8 JUN Union Espanola vs U. San Felipe Home +6% 2–2 MISS8 JUN Deportes Temuco vs Curico Unido HO1.5 0–1 MISS7 JUN Antofagasta vs Magallanes Over 2.5 -2% 0–0 MISS6 JUN Puerto Montt vs Cobreloa BTTS -10% 1–1 HITMay 2026 // 9 PICKS · 6 HIT · 3 MISS
31 MAY Magallanes vs D. Iquique BTTS +2% 4–3 HIT31 MAY Cobreloa vs Rangers HO1.5 2–0 HIT30 MAY S. Wanderers vs Union Espanola Over 2.5 -1% 2–2 HIT30 MAY Recoleta vs San Luis Over 2.5 +26% 0–0 MISS30 MAY U. San Felipe vs Puerto Montt — NO PICK 1–0 —24 MAY Antofagasta vs CD Santa Cruz Over 2.5 +4% 1–1 MISS24 MAY Puerto Montt vs San Marcos — NO PICK 0–2 —23 MAY D. Iquique vs Curico Unido Home -5% 1–1 MISS21 MAY Recoleta vs Cobreloa Over 2.5 +23% 2–2 HIT18 MAY CD Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco Over 2.5 +15% 2–3 HIT18 MAY Union Espanola vs D. Iquique Home +7% 2–1 HIT