Primera B
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 39 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
41.0%
1X2
16/39
56.4%
O/U 2.5
22/39
64.1%
BTTS
25/39
41.0%
Exact score
16/39
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
31
Settled
58.1%
Hit rate
18/31
1.81
Avg odds
+6.3%
ROI
+1.9u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=13 61.5% HIT · AVG 1.83 · +14.5% ROI
BTTS · N=12 58.3% HIT · AVG 1.74 · +1.3% ROI
HOME WIN · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.89 · +18.4% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.00 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
5
Bets
80%
Hit
+49.4%
ROI
✓ Solid
10
Bets
40%
Hit
-26.3%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+24.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
13
Bets
62%
Hit
+10.6%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 4 PICKS · 1 HIT · 3 MISS
8 JUN Union Espanola vs U. San Felipe Home +6% 2–2 MISS8 JUN Deportes Temuco vs Curico Unido HO1.5 0–1 MISS7 JUN Antofagasta vs Magallanes Over 2.5 -2% 0–0 MISS6 JUN Puerto Montt vs Cobreloa BTTS -10% 1–1 HITMay 2026 // 9 PICKS · 6 HIT · 3 MISS
31 MAY Magallanes vs D. Iquique BTTS +2% 4–3 HIT31 MAY Cobreloa vs Rangers HO1.5 2–0 HIT30 MAY S. Wanderers vs Union Espanola Over 2.5 -1% 2–2 HIT30 MAY Recoleta vs San Luis Over 2.5 +26% 0–0 MISS30 MAY U. San Felipe vs Puerto Montt — NO PICK 1–0 —24 MAY Antofagasta vs CD Santa Cruz Over 2.5 +4% 1–1 MISS24 MAY Puerto Montt vs San Marcos — NO PICK 0–2 —23 MAY D. Iquique vs Curico Unido Home -5% 1–1 MISS21 MAY Recoleta vs Cobreloa Over 2.5 +23% 2–2 HIT18 MAY CD Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco Over 2.5 +15% 2–3 HIT18 MAY Union Espanola vs D. Iquique Home +7% 2–1 HIT