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Deportes Temuco vs Curico Unido Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Regular Season - 15 ·Monday, June 8, 2026, 23:30

Deportes Temuco

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Curico Unido

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 68.8% vs bookmaker-implied 50.0% — a clear edge.

+37.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-13.8%0-21.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.1%1-18.6%1-24.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-19.8%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.8%3-17.4%3-23.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-17.2%4+-23.4%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.1% 48.8% 2.05 +27.3%

Draw 19.7% 29.9% 3.35 -20.4%

Away win 18.2% 30.8% 3.25 -24.5%

Over 2.5 64.1% 54.1% 1.85 +18.6%

Over 3.5 39.2% 31.3% 3.20 +25.4%

BTTS 55.4% 59.9% 1.67 -7.5%

Home O1.5 68.8% 50.0% 2.00 +37.6%

Away O1.5 27.9% 36.4% 2.75 -14.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 62% / xG 2.3-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.3%

#2 1–1 8.6%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 3–0 7.8%

#5 1–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportes Temuco2.3

Curico Unido0.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTES TEMUCO · PPG 1.50

CURICO UNIDO · PPG 0.57

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=62.1%

Win probability 1X2

Deportes Temuco (H) 62.1%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +27.3%

Draw 19.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -20.4%

Curico Unido (A) 18.2%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -24.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportes Temuco face Curico Unido in Chile - Primera B on Monday, June 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportes Temuco a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Curico Unido 18%, so Deportes Temuco are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Deportes Temuco and 0.9 for Curico Unido (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportes Temuco are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.57 for Curico Unido. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +59.7%. This match finished 0-1.

Deportes Temuco vs Curico Unido Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

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