Today / Chile - Primera B / CD Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco
CD Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco Prediction— Chile - Primera B
Regular Season - 12 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 23:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a clear edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 39 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
A 46% / xG 1.4-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%
Form & verdict
CD SANTA CRUZ · PPG 1.20
DEPORTES TEMUCO · PPG 1.33
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.33)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
CD Santa Cruz face Deportes Temuco in Chile - Primera B on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CD Santa Cruz a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Deportes Temuco 46%, so Deportes Temuco are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for CD Santa Cruz and 2.0 for Deportes Temuco (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CD Santa Cruz are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.33 for Deportes Temuco. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +58.0%. This match finished 2-3.