Puerto Montt vs Cobreloa Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Chile - Primera B Regular Season - 15 Estadio Regional de Chinquihue· Puerto Montt Saturday, June 6, 2026 16:30

Puerto Montt PPG 2.14

VS PENDING

Cobreloa PPG 1.00

HomeO15· +7.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Montt face Cobreloa in Chile - Primera B on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Montt a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Cobreloa 37%, so Cobreloa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Puerto Montt and 1.2 for Cobreloa (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Montt are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.00 for Cobreloa. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +7.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.3%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -12.9%

Draw 26.5%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -8.3%

Away 37.2%

Odds: 2.65 EV: -1.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 1.95 -5.0%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.45 -1.8%

BTTS 52.0% Odds: 1.73 -10.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 1-0

4th 0-1

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Puerto Montt

1.22

Cobreloa

1.17

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: HomeO15 (+7.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 66%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 14.0%

Bet Hit 61% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=36.3%