Today / Chile - Primera B / Puerto Montt vs Cobreloa

Puerto Montt vs Cobreloa Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 16:30

Puerto Montt

PPG 2.14 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Cobreloa

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.0% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.7%0-26.3%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.2%1-113.1%1-27.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.8%2-18.0%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.8%3-13.2%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 41.7% 2.40 -12.9%

Draw 26.5% 30.8% 3.25 -8.3%

Away win 37.2% 37.7% 2.65 -1.4%

Over 2.5 48.7% 51.3% 1.95 -5.0%

Over 3.5 28.1% 29.0% 3.45 -1.8%

BTTS 52.0% 57.8% 1.73 -10.0%

Home O1.5 46.9% 43.5% 2.30 +7.9%

Away O1.5 32.0% 40.0% 2.50 -20.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.0%

H 36% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 1–0 11.2%

#4 0–1 10.7%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puerto Montt1.2

Cobreloa1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PUERTO MONTT · PPG 2.14

COBRELOA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=36.3%

Win probability 1X2

Puerto Montt (H) 36.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -12.9%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -8.3%

Cobreloa (A) 37.2%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -1.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Montt face Cobreloa in Chile - Primera B on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Montt a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Cobreloa 37%, so Cobreloa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Puerto Montt and 1.2 for Cobreloa (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Montt are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.00 for Cobreloa. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +7.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Puerto Montt vs Cobreloa Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Chile - Primera B Predictions