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Union Espanola vs U. San Felipe Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Chile - Primera B logo Chile flag Chile - Primera B Regular Season - 15 Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK· Santiago de Chile Monday, June 8, 2026 23:30
Union Espanola logo Union Espanola PPG 2.29
VS PENDING
U. San Felipe logo U. San Felipe PPG 0.43
Home + Over 2.5· +9.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Espanola face U. San Felipe in Chile - Primera B on Monday, June 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Espanola a 60% chance, the draw 21% and U. San Felipe 19%, so Union Espanola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Union Espanola and 0.7 for U. San Felipe (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Espanola are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.43 for U. San Felipe. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +9.7%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.4%
Odds: 1.75 EV: +5.7%
Draw 20.7%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -15.3%
Away 18.8%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -14.9%
Model lean: Home

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.9% Odds: 1.77 -1.1%
Over 3.5 36.0% Odds: 2.95 +6.2%
BTTS 51.8% Odds: 1.67 -13.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 3-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Espanola
2.10
U. San Felipe
0.67

Model Suggestion

Home +5.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Home + Over 2.5(+9.7%)

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 43%
ROI 14.0%
Bet Hit 61% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=60.4%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org