Antofagasta vs Magallanes Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Chile - Primera B Regular Season - 15 Estadio Regional de Antofagasta· Antofagasta Sunday, June 7, 2026 19:30

Antofagasta PPG 2.17

VS PENDING

Magallanes PPG 1.57

Away· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Antofagasta face Magallanes in Chile - Primera B on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Antofagasta a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Magallanes 27%, so Antofagasta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Antofagasta and 1.1 for Magallanes (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Antofagasta are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.57 for Magallanes.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.6%

Odds: 1.77 EV: -12.2%

Draw 23.6%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -6.9%

Away 26.8%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -0.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.7% Odds: 1.62 -1.7%

Over 3.5 36.6% Odds: 2.50 -8.5%

BTTS 60.6% Odds: 1.55 -6.1%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 2-0

4th 1-0

5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Antofagasta

1.82

Magallanes

1.14

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -1.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 14.0%

Bet Hit 61% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.17) > Away GOOD (1.57)