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Antofagasta vs Magallanes Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 19:30

Antofagasta

PPG 2.17 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Magallanes

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-15.9%0-23.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.5%1-110.8%1-26.1%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.2%3-15.9%3-23.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-14.1%4+-22.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% 56.5% 1.77 -12.2%

Draw 23.6% 26.7% 3.75 -6.9%

Away win 26.8% 27.0% 3.70 -0.5%

Over 2.5 60.7% 61.7% 1.62 -1.7%

Over 3.5 36.6% 40.0% 2.50 -8.5%

BTTS 60.6% 64.5% 1.55 -6.1%

Home O1.5 55.0% 59.9% 1.67 -8.2%

Away O1.5 32.0% 38.2% 2.62 -16.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.6%

H 50% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 1–0 9.5%

#5 0–0✓ 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Antofagasta1.8

Magallanes1.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ANTOFAGASTA · PPG 2.17

MAGALLANES · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.17) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Antofagasta (H) 49.6%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -12.2%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -6.9%

Magallanes (A) 26.8%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Antofagasta face Magallanes in Chile - Primera B on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Antofagasta a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Magallanes 27%, so Antofagasta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Antofagasta and 1.1 for Magallanes (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Antofagasta are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.57 for Magallanes. This match finished 0-0.

Antofagasta vs Magallanes Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

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