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Cavalry FC vs Forge Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 21:00

Cavalry FC

PPG 2.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Forge

PPG 2.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-111.2%0-24.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.8%1-113.0%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.7%2-17.5%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.8%3-12.9%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% — — —

Draw 28.6% — — —

Away win 24.2% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 14.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.7%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.5%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–0 16.8%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 0–1 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cavalry FC1.2

Forge0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CAVALRY FC · PPG 2.43

FORGE · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.39, combined xG 1.93 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cavalry FC (H) 47.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Forge (A) 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cavalry FC face Forge in Canada - Premier League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cavalry FC a 47% chance, the draw 29% and Forge 24%, so Cavalry FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Cavalry FC and 0.8 for Forge (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cavalry FC are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 2.38 for Forge.

Cavalry FC vs Forge Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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