Today / Canada - Premier League / Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC

Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 01:00

Vancouver FC

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Pacific FC

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.79 for Home, form 1.78 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-12.5%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.3%1-16.6%1-23.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.9%2-19.0%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.9%3-18.1%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-011.5%4+-110.5%4+-24.8%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.1% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 15.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 23.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 14.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 68% / xG 2.7-0.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.9%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 3–0 8.9%

#4 3–1 8.1%

#5 1–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vancouver FC2.7

Pacific FC0.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VANCOUVER FC · PPG 1.78

PACIFIC FC · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.79 for Home, form 1.78 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Vancouver FC (H) 68.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pacific FC (A) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vancouver FC face Pacific FC in Canada - Premier League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vancouver FC a 68% chance, the draw 17% and Pacific FC 15%, so Vancouver FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Vancouver FC and 0.9 for Pacific FC (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vancouver FC are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.33 for Pacific FC.

Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Canada - Premier League Predictions