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Forge vs Pacific FC Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 23:00

Forge

PPG 2.38 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWL

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Pacific FC

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDLW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.60 for Home, form 2.38 vs 0.43 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-13.6%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.5%1-18.0%1-22.6%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.0%2-19.0%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.5%3-16.8%3-22.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-09.9%4+-16.4%4+-22.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.3% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 15.3% — — —

Over 2.5 56.0% — — —

Over 3.5 34.9% — — —

BTTS 49.1% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 2.9%

Bet Hit 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 14.0%

#2 1–0 12.5%

#3 1–1 8.0%

#4 3–0 10.5%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Forge2.2

Pacific FC0.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.0% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FORGE · PPG 2.38

PACIFIC FC · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.60 for Home, form 2.38 vs 0.43 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Forge (H) 64.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pacific FC (A) 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Forge face Pacific FC in Canada - Premier League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Forge a 64% chance, the draw 20% and Pacific FC 15%, so Forge are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Forge and 0.6 for Pacific FC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Forge are averaging 2.38 points per game versus 0.43 for Pacific FC. This match finished 2-0.

Forge vs Pacific FC Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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