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Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 21:00

Cavalry FC

PPG 2.56 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Vancouver FC

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 63.8% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-14.8%0-21.6%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.3%1-19.4%1-23.1%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.0%2-19.2%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.1%3-16.0%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-14.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.8% 67.6% 1.48 -5.6%

Draw 21.1% 23.8% 4.20 -6.8%

Away win 15.2% 17.2% 5.80 -7.1%

Over 2.5 53.3% 63.7% 1.57 -16.3%

Over 3.5 31.5% 40.8% 2.45 -22.8%

BTTS 47.2% 60.6% 1.65 -22.1%

Home O1.5 56.3% 67.6% 1.48 -16.7%

Away O1.5 18.2% 28.6% 3.50 -21.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 2.9%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.2%

H 64% / xG 2.0-0.7 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.0%

#2 1–0✓ 14.3%

#3 1–1 9.4%

#4 2–1 9.2%

#5 3–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cavalry FC2.0

Vancouver FC0.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CAVALRY FC · PPG 2.56

VANCOUVER FC · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.30 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cavalry FC (H) 63.8%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -5.6%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -6.8%

Vancouver FC (A) 15.2%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV -7.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cavalry FC face Vancouver FC in Canada - Premier League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cavalry FC a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Vancouver FC 15%, so Cavalry FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Cavalry FC and 0.7 for Vancouver FC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cavalry FC are averaging 2.56 points per game versus 1.11 for Vancouver FC. This match finished 1-0.

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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