Today / Australia - NPL Capital Territory / Brindabella vs Cooma Tigers FC

Brindabella vs Cooma Tigers FC Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 05:00

Brindabella

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cooma Tigers FC

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -2.41 for Away, form 0.67 vs 2.00

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-17.7%0-211.7%0-311.9%0-4+19.2%1 1-01.6%1-14.9%1-27.4%1-37.5%1-4+12.2%2 2-00.5%2-11.5%2-22.3%2-32.4%2-4+3.8%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.7% — — —

Draw 16.1% — — —

Away win 71.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 51.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 69.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 29%

ROI 9.5%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)3.0 BTTS prob51.5%

A 71% / xG 0.6-3.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 11.9%

#2 0–2 11.7%

#3 0–4 9.1%

#4 1–3 7.5%

#5 1–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brindabella0.6

Cooma Tigers FC3.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BRINDABELLA · PPG 0.67

COOMA TIGERS FC · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.41 for Away, form 0.67 vs 2.00

Win probability 1X2

Brindabella (H) 12.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cooma Tigers FC (A) 71.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brindabella face Cooma Tigers FC in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brindabella a 13% chance, the draw 16% and Cooma Tigers FC 71%, so Cooma Tigers FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Brindabella and 3.0 for Cooma Tigers FC (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brindabella are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 2.00 for Cooma Tigers FC.

Brindabella vs Cooma Tigers FC Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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