Today / Australia - NPL Capital Territory / Queanbeyan City vs O'Connor Knights

Queanbeyan City vs O'Connor Knights Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 05:00

Queanbeyan City

PPG 2.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

O'Connor Knights

PPG 0.56 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLWL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 79.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-13.7%0-21.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.6%1-18.5%1-24.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.9%2-19.8%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.5%3-17.5%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.4%4+-17.3%4+-23.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.8% 65.4% 1.53 -13.1%

Draw 21.2% 25.0% 4.00 -9.1%

Away win 22.0% 22.7% 4.40 -1.9%

Over 2.5 64.6% 75.2% 1.33 -14.1%

Over 3.5 43.5% 61.7% 1.62 -29.5%

BTTS 61.2% 76.9% 1.30 -20.4%

Home O1.5 65.1% 79.4% 1.26 -18.0%

Away O1.5 29.7% 46.5% 2.15 -21.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 12.0%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.2%

H 57% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–0 9.9%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–2 4.2%

#5 3–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Queanbeyan City2.3

O'Connor Knights1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

QUEANBEYAN CITY · PPG 2.33

O'CONNOR KNIGHTS · PPG 0.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.30 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Queanbeyan City (H) 56.8%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -13.1%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -9.1%

O'Connor Knights (A) 22.0%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -1.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Queanbeyan City face O'Connor Knights in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queanbeyan City a 57% chance, the draw 21% and O'Connor Knights 22%, so Queanbeyan City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Queanbeyan City and 1.0 for O'Connor Knights (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queanbeyan City are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.56 for O'Connor Knights. This match finished 1-0.

Queanbeyan City vs O'Connor Knights Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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