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Canberra White Eagles vs Monaro Panthers Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 05:00

Canberra White Eagles

PPG 0.11 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Monaro Panthers

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWLW

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 88.0% vs bookmaker-implied 90.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-13.2%0-26.3%0-38.2%0-4+22.7%1 1-00.7%1-12.8%1-25.6%1-37.3%1-4+20.2%2 2-00.3%2-11.3%2-22.5%2-33.2%2-4+9.0%3 3-00.1%3-10.4%3-20.7%3-31.0%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.4% 8.3% 12.00 +29.3%

Draw 16.1% 13.3% 7.50 +12.4%

Away win 71.4% 87.7% 1.14 -18.6%

Over 2.5 76.0% 83.3% 1.20 -8.8%

Over 3.5 55.5% 70.9% 1.41 -21.7%

BTTS 60.9% 64.9% 1.54 -6.2%

Home O1.5 30.6% 29.2% 3.42 +4.7%

Away O1.5 88.0% 90.9% 1.10 -3.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 12.0%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)3.9 BTTS prob60.9%

A 71% / xG 0.9-3.9 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 8.2%

#2 0–4 8.0%

#3 1–1 2.8%

#4 1–3 7.3%

#5 1–4 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canberra White Eagles0.9

Monaro Panthers3.9

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.0% · O3.5 PROB 55.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CANBERRA WHITE EAGLES · PPG 0.11

MONARO PANTHERS · PPG 2.00

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -3.04 for Away, form 0.11 vs 2.00

Win probability 1X2

Canberra White Eagles (H) 12.4%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV +29.3%

Draw 16.1%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +12.4%

Monaro Panthers (A) 71.4%

ODDS 1.14 · IMPLIED 87.7% EV -18.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Canberra White Eagles face Monaro Panthers in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canberra White Eagles a 12% chance, the draw 16% and Monaro Panthers 71%, so Monaro Panthers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Canberra White Eagles and 3.9 for Monaro Panthers (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canberra White Eagles are averaging 0.11 points per game versus 2.00 for Monaro Panthers. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +22.6%. This match finished 0-5.

Canberra White Eagles vs Monaro Panthers Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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