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O'Connor Knights vs Canberra White Eagles Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 05:00

O'Connor Knights

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Canberra White Eagles

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.3% vs bookmaker-implied 74.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-15.2%0-22.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.2%1-110.1%1-25.6%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.9%2-25.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.8%3-16.4%3-23.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-14.9%4+-22.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.4% 54.6% 1.83 -2.3%

Draw 22.7% 24.4% 4.10 -4.2%

Away win 23.9% 33.3% 3.00 -17.0%

Over 2.5 60.0% 71.4% 1.40 -16.0%

Over 3.5 36.5% 52.1% 1.92 -29.9%

BTTS 60.3% 74.6% 1.34 -19.2%

Home O1.5 54.6% 64.5% 1.55 -15.4%

Away O1.5 34.7% 50.3% 1.99 -30.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 29%

ROI 9.5%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.3%

H 53% / xG 2.0-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.0%

#4 1–0 9.2%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

O'Connor Knights2.0

Canberra White Eagles1.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.0% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

O'CONNOR KNIGHTS · PPG 1.33

CANBERRA WHITE EAGLES · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.85 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

O'Connor Knights (H) 53.4%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -2.3%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -4.2%

Canberra White Eagles (A) 23.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -17.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

O'Connor Knights face Canberra White Eagles in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives O'Connor Knights a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Canberra White Eagles 24%, so O'Connor Knights are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for O'Connor Knights and 1.1 for Canberra White Eagles (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, O'Connor Knights are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.67 for Canberra White Eagles.

O'Connor Knights vs Canberra White Eagles Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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