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Canberra Juventus vs Canberra White Eagles Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 05:00

Canberra Juventus

PPG 1.50 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Canberra White Eagles

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 78.3% vs bookmaker-implied 87.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.0%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.2%1-13.7%1-22.1%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.6%2-16.6%2-23.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.7%3-17.8%3-24.5%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-014.9%4+-117.3%4+-210.0%4+-33.9%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.9% 76.9% 1.30 -16.9%

Draw 15.9% 19.0% 5.25 -9.9%

Away win 20.1% 17.4% 5.75 +9.3%

Over 2.5 73.0% 82.0% 1.22 -10.9%

Over 3.5 52.7% 66.2% 1.51 -20.4%

BTTS 64.3% 71.4% 1.40 -10.0%

Home O1.5 78.3% 87.7% 1.14 -10.7%

Away O1.5 35.4% 38.3% 2.61 -7.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 9.5%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob64.3%

H 64% / xG 3.6-1.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.8%

#2 4–1 6.9%

#3 3–0 6.7%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 4–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canberra Juventus3.6

Canberra White Eagles1.2

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CANBERRA JUVENTUS · PPG 1.50

CANBERRA WHITE EAGLES · PPG 0.75

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.39 for Home, form 1.50 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Canberra Juventus (H) 63.9%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -16.9%

Draw 15.9%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -9.9%

Canberra White Eagles (A) 20.1%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV +9.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Canberra Juventus face Canberra White Eagles in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canberra Juventus a 64% chance, the draw 16% and Canberra White Eagles 20%, so Canberra Juventus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Canberra Juventus and 1.2 for Canberra White Eagles (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canberra Juventus are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Canberra White Eagles. This match finished 4-2.

Canberra Juventus vs Canberra White Eagles Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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