Leagues / SWEDEN / Ettan - Södra
Ettan - Södra
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
Upcoming Ettan - Södra predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT17:00 Rosengård vs Laholm Over 2.5 61% 1.53 -7%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 89 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
47.2%
1X2
42/89
58.4%
O/U 2.5
52/89
65.2%
BTTS
58/89
33.7%
Exact score
30/89
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
31
Settled
61.3%
Hit rate
19/31
1.63
Avg odds
-0.4%
ROI
-0.1u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=18 61.1% HIT · AVG 1.65 · +0.4% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.58 · -4.4% ROI
HOME WIN · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.63 · -14.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.48 · +47.5% ROI
BTTS · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.80 · -100.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.64 · +64.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+27.7%
ROI
✓ Solid
3
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
16
Bets
69%
Hit
+9.1%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
8
Bets
63%
Hit
+3.9%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 12 HIT · 3 MISS
30 AUG Trelleborg vs Utsikten HO1.5 2–1 HIT30 AUG Laholm vs AFC Malmo Over 2.5 -13% 2–2 HIT29 AUG Angelholms FF vs Jonkopings Sodra BTTS -16% 0–1 MISS29 AUG Eskilsminne vs Hässleholms IF Over 2.5 -1% 0–2 MISS29 AUG Rosengård vs Trollhättan BTTS -17% 3–2 HIT29 AUG Tvååker vs Skövde AIK BTTS -19% 1–1 HIT29 AUG Kristianstad vs Atvidabergs FF Over 2.5 -3% 5–2 HIT28 AUG Lund vs Olympic Over 2.5 -1% 7–1 HIT24 AUG Hässleholms IF vs Laholm HO1.5 2–1 HIT23 AUG Skövde AIK vs Kristianstad BTTS -22% 3–1 HIT22 AUG Olympic vs Tvååker BTTS -12% 3–4 HIT22 AUG AFC Malmo vs Lund BTTS -5% 2–5 HIT22 AUG Utsikten vs Eskilsminne AO1.5 2–2 HIT22 AUG Atvidabergs FF vs Angelholms FF Over 2.5 +6% 4–1 HIT22 AUG Jonkopings Sodra vs Rosengård BTTS -11% 0–0 MISS