Leagues / SWEDEN / Ettan - Södra
Ettan - Södra
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 50 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
54.0%
1X2
27/50
60.0%
O/U 2.5
30/50
66.0%
BTTS
33/50
34.0%
Exact score
17/50
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
45
Settled
71.1%
Hit rate
32/45
1.58
Avg odds
+10.8%
ROI
+4.9u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=19 63.2% HIT · AVG 1.61 · +0.5% ROI
BTTS · N=14 78.6% HIT · AVG 1.56 · +22.1% ROI
HOME WIN · N=5 80.0% HIT · AVG 1.60 · +23.6% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.59 · -18.8% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.43 · +42.5% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.40 · +40.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
4
Bets
50%
Hit
-13.3%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-30.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
9
Bets
67%
Hit
+3.4%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
30
Bets
77%
Hit
+18.9%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
July 2026 // 1 PICK · 1 HIT · 0 MISS
1 JUL Eskilsminne vs Kristianstad BTTS -18% 3–2 HITJune 2026 // 14 PICKS · 10 HIT · 4 MISS
28 JUN Olympic vs Eskilsminne Over 2.5 +1% 2–1 HIT27 JUN Trollhattan vs Angelholm Over 2.5 -1% 1–1 MISS27 JUN Laholm vs Utsikten Over 2.5 +1% 3–1 HIT27 JUN Lund vs Skovde AIK Home -17% 2–1 HIT27 JUN Atvidaberg vs Rosengard Over 2.5 +1% 3–3 HIT26 JUN Kristianstad vs Trelleborg AO1.5 0–0 MISS26 JUN Hassleholms IF vs Tvaaker BTTS -16% 4–2 HIT21 JUN Kristianstad vs Laholm Over 2.5 -2% 0–3 HIT18 JUN Skovde AIK vs Hassleholms IF BTTS -21% 2–2 HIT18 JUN Eskilsminne vs Trollhattan BTTS -5% 2–0 MISS18 JUN Tvaaker vs Angelholm BTTS -11% 3–2 HIT18 JUN Trelleborg vs Rosengard BTTS -12% 3–2 HIT18 JUN Jonkopings vs Lund BTTS -9% 0–0 MISS17 JUN Utsikten vs Atvidaberg Away -3% 0–3 HIT