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Hässleholms IF vs Laholm Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra · Matchday 18 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 17:00

Hässleholms IF

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Laholm

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-13.2%0-21.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.8%1-17.8%1-24.5%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.3%2-19.5%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.7%3-17.7%3-24.4%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-18.2%4+-24.7%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% 61.0% 1.64 -4.9%

Draw 21.0% 26.3% 3.80 -12.1%

Away win 21.0% 22.2% 4.50 -3.3%

Over 2.5 62.0% 60.6% 1.65 +2.3%

Over 3.5 39.3% 38.5% 2.60 +2.2%

BTTS 54.7% 61.7% 1.62 -11.4%

Home O1.5 65.8% 62.5% 1.60 +5.3%

Away O1.5 33.0% 33.3% 3.00 -1.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -0.4%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.7%

H 58% / xG 2.4-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.8%

#2 2–1✓ 9.5%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 3–1 7.7%

#5 1–2 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hässleholms IF2.4

Laholm1.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HÄSSLEHOLMS IF · PPG 1.62

LAHOLM · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.28 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hässleholms IF (H) 58.0%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -4.9%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -12.1%

Laholm (A) 21.0%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -3.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hässleholms IF face Laholm in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hässleholms IF a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Laholm 21%, so Hässleholms IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Hässleholms IF and 1.1 for Laholm (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hässleholms IF are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.00 for Laholm. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +7.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Hässleholms IF vs Laholm Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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