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Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Matchday 25 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 10:30

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

PPG 0.91 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDDL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Jeonbuk Motors

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-116.7%0-211.2%0-35.0%0-4+2.2%1 1-09.3%1-112.4%1-28.3%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-03.4%2-14.6%2-23.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.9%3-11.1%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.1% 30.3% 3.30 -8.3%

Draw 28.1% 29.4% 3.40 -2.7%

Away win 45.8% 47.6% 2.10 -3.8%

Over 2.5 43.1% 52.6% 1.90 -18.1%

Over 3.5 20.7% 30.8% 3.25 -19.6%

BTTS 47.2% 58.8% 1.70 -19.8%

Home O1.5 30.9% 35.7% 2.80 -13.5%

Away O1.5 40.9% 47.6% 2.10 -14.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -23.8%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob47.2%

A 46% / xG 0.7-1.3 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.7%

#2 0–0✓ 12.5%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 0–2 11.2%

#5 1–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gimcheon Sangmu FC0.7

Jeonbuk Motors1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GIMCHEON SANGMU FC · PPG 0.91

JEONBUK MOTORS · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.60 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Gimcheon Sangmu FC (H) 26.1%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -8.3%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -2.7%

Jeonbuk Motors (A) 45.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -3.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gimcheon Sangmu FC face Jeonbuk Motors in South Korea - K League 1 on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC a 26% chance, the draw 28% and Jeonbuk Motors 46%, so Jeonbuk Motors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 1.3 for Jeonbuk Motors (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimcheon Sangmu FC are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.42 for Jeonbuk Motors. This match finished 0-0.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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