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Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Matchday 26 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 10:30

Bucheon FC 1995

PPG 1.08 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWLD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

FC Anyang

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-110.3%0-26.7%0-32.9%0-4+1.3%1 1-09.8%1-112.7%1-28.3%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.0%2-17.9%2-25.1%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.5%3-13.3%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.2% 39.2% 2.55 +7.6%

Draw 23.5% 30.3% 3.30 -13.5%

Away win 34.3% 37.0% 2.70 -7.4%

Over 2.5 53.5% 51.3% 1.95 +4.3%

Over 3.5 31.5% 29.4% 3.40 +7.1%

BTTS 54.3% 58.8% 1.70 -7.7%

Home O1.5 34.4% 42.0% 2.38 -18.1%

Away O1.5 38.2% 40.8% 2.45 -6.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -23.8%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.3%

H 42% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.7%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 1–0 9.8%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bucheon FC 19951.2

FC Anyang1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BUCHEON FC 1995 · PPG 1.08

FC ANYANG · PPG 1.58

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bucheon FC 1995 (H) 42.2%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +7.6%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -13.5%

FC Anyang (A) 34.3%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bucheon FC 1995 face FC Anyang in South Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bucheon FC 1995 a 42% chance, the draw 24% and FC Anyang 34%, so Bucheon FC 1995 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bucheon FC 1995 and 1.3 for FC Anyang (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bucheon FC 1995 are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.58 for FC Anyang. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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