Leagues / SOUTH AFRICA / 1st Division
1st Division
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 46 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
58.7%
1X2
27/46
54.3%
O/U 2.5
25/46
60.9%
BTTS
28/46
60.9%
Exact score
28/46
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
12
Settled
58.3%
Hit rate
7/12
2.04
Avg odds
+13.8%
ROI
+1.7u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=10 70.0% HIT · AVG 2.01 · +36.6% ROI
BTTS · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.15 · -100.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.25 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
6
Bets
83%
Hit
+51.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+130.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS
2 SEPT Cape Town City vs Leicesterfield Over 2.5 +13% 1–1 MISSAugust 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS
29 AUG Gomora United FC vs Venda FC — NO PICK 1–0 —29 AUG Upington City vs Casric Stars — NO PICK 2–1 —29 AUG University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers Home 0–2 MISSMay 2026 // 4 PICKS · 2 HIT · 2 MISS
17 MAY Hungry Lions vs Milford — NO PICK 0–0 —17 MAY Lerumo Lions vs Black Leopards — NO PICK 4–0 —17 MAY Leicesterford vs Cape Town City — NO PICK 2–4 —17 MAY Kruger United vs The Bees Home -14% 2–2 MISS17 MAY Casric Stars vs Gomora United Home -18% 3–1 HIT17 MAY Baroka vs Upington City — NO PICK 0–0 —17 MAY Venda FC vs Highbury — NO PICK 1–2 —10 MAY Black Leopards vs Venda FC — NO PICK 2–1 —10 MAY Upington City vs Casric Stars BTTS 0–2 MISS10 MAY The Bees vs Leicesterford Home +6% 2–1 HIT10 MAY Midlands Wand. vs Lerumo Lions — NO PICK 1–1 —