Leagues / SOUTH AFRICA / 1st Division
1st Division
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 42 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
59.5%
1X2
25/42
54.8%
O/U 2.5
23/42
61.9%
BTTS
26/42
59.5%
Exact score
25/42
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
15
Settled
66.7%
Hit rate
10/15
1.88
Avg odds
+19.5%
ROI
+2.9u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=14 71.4% HIT · AVG 1.86 · +28.1% ROI
BTTS · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.15 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
6
Bets
83%
Hit
+51.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
3
Bets
100%
Hit
+96.7%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
4
Bets
50%
Hit
-25.8%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 6 PICKS · 3 HIT · 3 MISS
17 MAY Venda FC vs Highbury — NO PICK 1–2 —17 MAY Leicesterford vs Cape Town City — NO PICK 2–4 —17 MAY Lerumo Lions vs Black Leopards — NO PICK 4–0 —17 MAY Kruger United vs The Bees Home -14% 2–2 MISS17 MAY Hungry Lions vs Milford — NO PICK 0–0 —17 MAY Casric Stars vs Gomora United Home -18% 3–1 HIT17 MAY Baroka vs Upington City — NO PICK 0–0 —10 MAY Midlands Wand. vs Lerumo Lions — NO PICK 1–1 —10 MAY Upington City vs Casric Stars BTTS 0–2 MISS10 MAY The Bees vs Leicesterford Home +6% 2–1 HIT10 MAY Highbury vs Hungry Lions — NO PICK 0–4 —10 MAY Gomora United vs Kruger United BTTS +12% 0–1 MISS10 MAY Cape Town City vs Baroka Home -16% 1–0 HIT10 MAY Black Leopards vs Venda FC — NO PICK 2–1 —3 MAY Cape Town City vs Gomora United — NO PICK 4–0 —