← Back to picks 
South-Africa - 1st Division Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00 
Kruger United PPG 2.43 
The Bees PPG 0.43
South-Africa - 1st Division Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00 Kruger United PPG 2.432-2 MISS
The Bees PPG 0.43Away· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.20 +4.7%
Over 3.5 23.3% Odds: 3.86 -6.0%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 2.01 +3.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Kruger United 1.59
The Bees 0.86
Model Suggestion
Home -13.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -13.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+5.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+5.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 42 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 60%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 24.2%
Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.43) vs P(Home)=51.7%