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Venda FC vs Highbury Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 30 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:00

Venda FC

PPG 1.57 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Highbury

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.3%0-114.8%0-25.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-112.6%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.8%2-15.4%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.2%3-11.5%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% — — —

Draw 38.9% — — —

Away win 24.9% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 7.2% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.2%

H 36% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.3%

#2 1–0 18.2%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 0–1 14.8%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Venda FC0.9

Highbury0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VENDA FC · PPG 1.57

HIGHBURY · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Venda FC (H) 36.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 38.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Highbury (A) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Venda FC face Highbury in South-Africa - 1st Division on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Venda FC a 36% chance, the draw 39% and Highbury 25%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.9 for Venda FC and 0.7 for Highbury (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Venda FC are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.21 for Highbury. This match finished 1-2.

Venda FC vs Highbury Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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