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Upington City vs Casric Stars Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Upington City

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

DW ···

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Casric Stars

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-19.0%0-24.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.9%1-112.6%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.8%2-18.9%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.6%3-14.2%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% — — —

Draw 28.8% — — —

Away win 25.9% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 25.6% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 61%

ROI 13.8%

Bet Hit 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 13.9%

#3 0–0 9.8%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 2–1✓ 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Upington City1.4

Casric Stars0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

UPINGTON CITY · PPG 1.70

CASRIC STARS · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.50 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Upington City (H) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Casric Stars (A) 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Upington City face Casric Stars in South-Africa - 1st Division on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Upington City a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Casric Stars 26%, so Upington City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Upington City and 0.9 for Casric Stars (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Upington City are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.27 for Casric Stars. This match finished 2-1.

Upington City vs Casric Stars Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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