Today / South-Africa - 1st Division / Black Leopards vs Venda FC

Black Leopards vs Venda FC Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 29 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Black Leopards

PPG 1.07 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Venda FC

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.6%0-116.8%0-26.0%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.3%1-112.3%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.3%2-14.5%2-21.6%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.5%3-11.1%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.8% — — —

Draw 41.0% — — —

Away win 25.2% — — —

Over 2.5 25.8% — — —

Over 3.5 5.9% — — —

BTTS 45.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.9%

D 41% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.6%

#2 1–0 17.3%

#3 0–1 16.8%

#4 1–1 12.3%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Black Leopards0.7

Venda FC0.7

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 5.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BLACK LEOPARDS · PPG 1.07

VENDA FC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Black Leopards (H) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 41.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Venda FC (A) 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Black Leopards face Venda FC in South-Africa - 1st Division on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Black Leopards a 34% chance, the draw 41% and Venda FC 25%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Black Leopards and 0.7 for Venda FC (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Black Leopards are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.00 for Venda FC. This match finished 2-1.

Black Leopards vs Venda FC Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More South-Africa - 1st Division Predictions