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Leicesterford vs Cape Town City Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 30 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:00

Leicesterford

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

Cape Town City

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.9%0-117.6%0-29.8%0-33.6%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.6%1-112.9%1-27.2%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.2%2-14.7%2-22.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.0%3-11.1%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.6% 20.0% 5.00 +19.8%

Draw 32.6% 30.8% 3.25 +5.9%

Away win 40.8% 61.0% 1.64 -33.1%

Over 2.5 35.0% 48.8% 2.05 -28.2%

Over 3.5 11.5% 25.8% 3.88 -33.2%

BTTS 47.8% 49.8% 2.01 -3.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.8%

A 41% / xG 0.7-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.9%

#2 0–1 17.6%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–2 9.8%

#5 1–0 11.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Leicesterford0.7

Cape Town City1.1

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LEICESTERFORD · PPG 2.00

CAPE TOWN CITY · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Leicesterford (H) 26.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +19.8%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +5.9%

Cape Town City (A) 40.8%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -33.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Leicesterford face Cape Town City in South-Africa - 1st Division on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leicesterford a 27% chance, the draw 33% and Cape Town City 41%, so Cape Town City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Leicesterford and 1.1 for Cape Town City (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leicesterford are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.57 for Cape Town City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +19.8%. This match finished 2-4.

Leicesterford vs Cape Town City Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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