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University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

University of Pretoria

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Midlands Wanderers

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

LW ···

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-18.0%0-23.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.6%1-112.1%1-25.0%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.0%2-19.1%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.5%3-14.6%3-21.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-12.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 31.9% — — —

Away win 22.0% — — —

Over 2.5 43.3% — — —

Over 3.5 25.6% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 23.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 61%

ROI 13.8%

Bet Hit 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 0–0 9.7%

#3 1–0 14.6%

#4 2–0 11.0%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

University of Pretoria1.5

Midlands Wanderers0.8

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.3% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIVERSITY OF PRETORIA · PPG 1.52

MIDLANDS WANDERERS · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

University of Pretoria (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Midlands Wanderers (A) 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

University of Pretoria face Midlands Wanderers in South-Africa - 1st Division on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives University of Pretoria a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Midlands Wanderers 22%, so University of Pretoria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for University of Pretoria and 0.8 for Midlands Wanderers (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, University of Pretoria are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 0.91 for Midlands Wanderers. This match finished 0-2.

University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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