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South-Africa - 1st Division logo South-Africa flag South-Africa - 1st Division Regular Season - 30 Old Peter Mokaba Stadium· Polokwane Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00
Baroka logo Baroka PPG 1.07
0-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Upington City logo Upington City PPG 0.79
Home· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.1%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +2.4%
Draw 34.3%
Odds: 2.95 EV: +1.2%
Away 37.5%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -26.9%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.25 -21.3%
Over 3.5 12.3% Odds: 4.25 -28.6%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.93 -6.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Baroka
0.82
Upington City
1.06

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away POOR (0.79)

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