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Hungry Lions vs Milford Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 30 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:00

Hungry Lions

PPG 2.07 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Milford

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-111.5%0-25.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.0%1-113.3%1-25.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.7%2-17.7%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.3%3-12.9%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.5% — — —

Draw 29.8% — — —

Away win 25.7% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 15.0% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.6%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0✓ 13.0%

#3 1–0 15.0%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hungry Lions1.2

Milford0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HUNGRY LIONS · PPG 2.07

MILFORD · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Hungry Lions (H) 44.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Milford (A) 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hungry Lions face Milford in South-Africa - 1st Division on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hungry Lions a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Milford 26%, so Hungry Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Hungry Lions and 0.9 for Milford (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hungry Lions are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.29 for Milford. This match finished 0-0.

Hungry Lions vs Milford Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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