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Akron vs CSKA Moscow Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Matchday 6 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 15:00

Akron

PPG 0.58 · HOME

LAST 5

LDDLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

CSKA Moscow

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-111.8%0-29.6%0-35.2%0-4+3.1%1 1-07.2%1-111.8%1-29.6%1-35.2%1-4+3.0%2 2-03.6%2-15.9%2-24.8%2-32.6%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.2%3-11.9%3-21.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.1% 21.1% 4.75 +8.7%

Draw 24.4% 23.8% 4.20 +1.5%

Away win 51.5% 59.2% 1.69 -13.0%

Over 2.5 52.9% 62.9% 1.59 -15.9%

Over 3.5 31.2% 42.0% 2.38 -25.7%

BTTS 52.7% 63.7% 1.57 -17.3%

Home O1.5 30.9% 33.4% 2.99 -7.6%

Away O1.5 47.9% 62.5% 1.60 -23.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -15.8%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob52.7%

A 52% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 0–1 11.8%

#3 0–2 9.6%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Akron1.0

CSKA Moscow1.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AKRON · PPG 0.58

CSKA MOSCOW · PPG 1.35

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.63 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Akron (H) 24.1%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +8.7%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +1.5%

CSKA Moscow (A) 51.5%

ODDS 1.69 · IMPLIED 59.2% EV -13.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Akron face CSKA Moscow in Russia - Premier League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Akron a 24% chance, the draw 24% and CSKA Moscow 52%, so CSKA Moscow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Akron and 1.6 for CSKA Moscow (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Akron are averaging 0.58 points per game versus 1.35 for CSKA Moscow. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.4%. This match finished 2-2.

Akron vs CSKA Moscow Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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