Leagues / PARAGUAY / Division Intermedia
Division Intermedia
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
Upcoming Division Intermedia predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
6 SEPT13:00 Benjamín Aceval vs 12 de Junio VH BTTS 53% 1.76 -7%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 55 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
43.6%
1X2
24/55
50.9%
O/U 2.5
28/55
52.7%
BTTS
29/55
49.1%
Exact score
27/55
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
15
Settled
40.0%
Hit rate
6/15
1.93
Avg odds
-23.7%
ROI
-3.5u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=9 33.3% HIT · AVG 2.02 · -33.9% ROI
BTTS · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.80 · -8.8% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · +85.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.62 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Fair / Caution
15
Bets
40%
Hit
-23.7%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 5 PICKS · 3 HIT · 2 MISS
5 SEPT Atlético Tembetary vs Encarnación BTTS -4% 0–2 MISS5 SEPT Tacuary vs Deportivo Santani Over 2.5 +10% 0–3 HIT4 SEPT Independiente F.b.c. vs Fernando De La Mora BTTS -5% 0–0 MISS4 SEPT Sportivo Carapeguá vs Paraguari AC BTTS -6% 2–3 HIT4 SEPT Resistencia vs Guairena FC — NO PICK 2–1 —3 SEPT Deportivo Capiata vs 3 de Noviembre Over 2.5 +10% 4–3 HIT3 SEPT SOL DE America vs General Caballero — NO PICK 1–1 —August 2026 // 6 PICKS · 4 HIT · 2 MISS
31 AUG Paraguari AC vs Resistencia — NO PICK 1–0 —31 AUG Encarnación vs Benjamín Aceval BTTS -2% 1–3 HIT30 AUG 12 de Junio VH vs Sportivo Carapeguá HO1.5 0–1 MISS30 AUG Guairena FC vs SOL DE America — NO PICK 0–1 —29 AUG Fernando De La Mora vs Tacuary BTTS -10% 1–1 HIT29 AUG Deportivo Santani vs Atlético Tembetary Home -13% 3–4 MISS28 AUG 3 de Noviembre vs Independiente F.b.c. BTTS -4% 5–2 HIT28 AUG General Caballero vs Deportivo Capiata HO1.5 2–1 HIT