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Guairena FC vs SOL DE America Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Guairena FC

PPG 1.40 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLDL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

SOL DE America

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-115.1%0-28.6%0-33.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.7%1-113.3%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.2%2-15.9%2-23.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.5%3-11.7%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.8% 33.3% 3.00 -8.2%

Draw 27.8% 32.3% 3.10 -8.3%

Away win 43.4% 45.5% 2.20 -4.5%

Over 2.5 43.1% 42.6% 2.35 +1.3%

Over 3.5 20.7% 23.3% 4.30 -6.6%

BTTS 47.2% 52.1% 1.92 -9.4%

Home O1.5 30.9% 31.4% 3.18 -1.7%

Away O1.5 33.0% 39.8% 2.51 -17.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -43.1%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.2%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 15.1%

#2 0–0 13.3%

#3 1–1 13.3%

#4 1–0 11.7%

#5 0–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guairena FC0.9

SOL DE America1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GUAIRENA FC · PPG 1.40

SOL DE AMERICA · PPG 1.60

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.25, combined xG 2.01 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Guairena FC (H) 28.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.2%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.3%

SOL DE America (A) 43.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Guairena FC face SOL DE America in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guairena FC a 29% chance, the draw 28% and SOL DE America 43%, so SOL DE America are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Guairena FC and 1.1 for SOL DE America (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guairena FC are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.60 for SOL DE America. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Guairena FC vs SOL DE America Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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