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Paraguari AC vs Resistencia Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Matchday 21 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 19:00

Paraguari AC

PPG 1.40 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDLW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Resistencia

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.2%0-112.4%0-25.9%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.3%1-113.5%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.7%2-17.3%2-23.4%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.8%3-12.6%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.0% 34.5% 2.90 +13.1%

Draw 31.1% 34.5% 2.90 -9.8%

Away win 29.9% 43.5% 2.30 -18.7%

Over 2.5 42.7% 45.5% 2.20 -6.1%

Over 3.5 20.9% 26.3% 3.80 -12.3%

BTTS 48.0% 54.1% 1.85 -11.2%

Home O1.5 30.8% 34.2% 2.92 -10.1%

Away O1.5 26.1% 41.2% 2.43 -21.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -43.1%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.0%

D 31% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 13.2%

#3 1–0✓ 14.3%

#4 0–1 12.4%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paraguari AC1.1

Resistencia0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PARAGUARI AC · PPG 1.40

RESISTENCIA · PPG 1.10

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.14, combined xG 2.03 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Paraguari AC (H) 39.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +13.1%

Draw 31.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -9.8%

Resistencia (A) 29.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -18.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Paraguari AC face Resistencia in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paraguari AC a 39% chance, the draw 31% and Resistencia 30%, so Paraguari AC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Paraguari AC and 0.9 for Resistencia (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paraguari AC are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.10 for Resistencia. This match finished 1-0.

Paraguari AC vs Resistencia Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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