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SOL DE America vs General Caballero Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Matchday 22 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 22:00

SOL DE America

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

General Caballero

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-111.3%0-26.1%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.3%1-113.3%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.2%2-17.8%2-24.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.8%3-13.1%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 40.0% 2.50 -9.3%

Draw 27.9% 33.3% 3.00 -9.8%

Away win 35.8% 40.0% 2.50 -10.5%

Over 2.5 44.5% 45.5% 2.20 -2.1%

Over 3.5 25.5% 26.0% 3.84 -1.3%

BTTS 49.9% 54.1% 1.85 -7.7%

Home O1.5 32.6% 37.9% 2.64 -13.9%

Away O1.5 32.9% 37.9% 2.64 -13.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -43.1%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.9%

H 36% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.4%

#3 0–1 11.3%

#4 1–0 12.3%

#5 1–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SOL DE America1.2

General Caballero1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SOL DE AMERICA · PPG 1.40

GENERAL CABALLERO · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.09, combined xG 2.26 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SOL DE America (H) 36.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -9.3%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.8%

General Caballero (A) 35.8%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -10.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

SOL DE America face General Caballero in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SOL DE America a 36% chance, the draw 28% and General Caballero 36%, so SOL DE America are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for SOL DE America and 1.1 for General Caballero (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SOL DE America are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.50 for General Caballero. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +4.5%.

SOL DE America vs General Caballero Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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