Leagues / NORWAY / 2. Division - Group 1
2. Division - Group 1
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 69 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
47.8%
1X2
33/69
47.8%
O/U 2.5
33/69
53.6%
BTTS
37/69
36.2%
Exact score
25/69
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
13
Settled
38.5%
Hit rate
5/13
1.69
Avg odds
-41.1%
ROI
-5.3u
Picks by market
HOME O1.5 · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.50 · -35.5% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 2.00 · -33.3% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.54 · +2.7% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.64 · -100.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.05 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-36.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
20%
Hit
-69.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+20.8%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 14 PICKS · 9 HIT · 5 MISS
30 AUG Træff vs Vidar HO1.5 2–2 HIT30 AUG Brattvåg vs Sandviken HO1.5 4–4 HIT30 AUG Bjarg vs Mjondalen Over 2.5 1–0 MISS30 AUG Arendal vs Lysekloster Over 2.5 2–1 HIT30 AUG Kvik Halden vs Notodden BTTS 0–0 MISS30 AUG Eik-Tønsberg vs Sotra Away 1–3 HIT30 AUG jerv vs Pors Grenland BTTS 1–0 MISS16 AUG Sandviken vs jerv Over 2.5 2–2 HIT16 AUG Pors Grenland vs Bjarg BTTS -18% 1–1 HIT16 AUG Sotra vs Træff BTTS -7% 2–1 HIT15 AUG Notodden vs Brattvåg — NO PICK 0–3 —15 AUG Lysekloster vs Kvik Halden Over 2.5 -4% 0–1 MISS15 AUG Mjondalen vs Eik-Tønsberg HO1.5 2–1 HIT15 AUG Vidar vs Arendal Over 2.5 -9% 1–3 HIT9 AUG Eik-Tønsberg vs Træff Over 2.5 +3% 0–1 MISS