Leagues / NORWAY / 2. Division - Group 1
2. Division - Group 1
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 34 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
41.2%
1X2
14/34
32.4%
O/U 2.5
11/34
50.0%
BTTS
17/34
35.3%
Exact score
12/34
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
26
Settled
50.0%
Hit rate
13/26
1.60
Avg odds
-22.9%
ROI
-6.0u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=9 55.6% HIT · AVG 1.52 · -16.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.53 · -8.8% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=4 25.0% HIT · AVG 1.91 · -50.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.57 · -56.7% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.54 · +54.0% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.64 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-48.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
20
Bets
60%
Hit
-7.6%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 13 PICKS · 9 HIT · 4 MISS
28 JUN Sotra vs Jerv BTTS -12% 1–3 HIT27 JUN Traef vs Eik Tonsberg Over 2.5 +0% 3–1 HIT27 JUN Vidar vs Kvik Halden Away +33% 2–4 HIT27 JUN Lysekloster vs Brattvag Away -2% 1–1 MISS27 JUN Mjondalen vs Bjarg Over 2.5 -4% 1–0 MISS27 JUN Pors Grenland vs Arendal — NO PICK 2–4 —27 JUN Sandviken vs Notodden BTTS 0–4 MISS21 JUN Arendal vs Traef BTTS -17% 3–1 HIT21 JUN Brattvag vs Jerv — NO PICK 1–2 —20 JUN Sandviken vs Lysekloster BTTS 2–3 HIT20 JUN Pors Grenland vs Eik Tonsberg Home -18% 2–0 HIT20 JUN Notodden vs Mjondalen BTTS -22% 1–2 HIT20 JUN Bjarg vs Vidar Home -22% 3–1 HIT20 JUN Kvik Halden vs Sotra BTTS -21% 2–1 HIT14 JUN Lysekloster vs Notodden BTTS -15% 0–2 MISS